All competitions / PENHALIGONS CHRISTMAS ADVENT CALENDAR 2026 #1
PENHALIGONS CHRISTMAS ADVENT CALENDAR 2026 #1
Rev Comps — PENHALIGONS CHRISTMAS ADVENT CALENDAR 2026
What £10 buys you
- Tickets
- 3
- Odds as it stands
- 1 in 15
- Projected closing odds
- Not available — needs sales history
These are the odds against the field as it stands right now. More entries will be sold before the draw, so your final chance will be lower than this.
Live status
| Tickets sold | 42 of 299 |
|---|---|
| Sell-through | 14.0% |
| Ticket price | £2.97 |
| Draw | 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 (96h away) |
| Cash alternative | — |
| Estimated prize value | £430 |
| Source confidence | high |
Value metrics
| Max value ratio | 2.07× |
|---|---|
| Current value ratio | 0.29× |
| Projected value ratio | Not available — needs sales history |
Why this score
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| data freshness | 1.00 | 7.7% |
| draw proximity | 0.40 | 30.8% |
| odds efficiency | 0.52 | 46.2% |
| prize significance | 0.42 | 15.4% |
Two further components — projected closing value ratio and how this operator usually sells through — are excluded because they need sales history that does not exist yet. The remaining weights are rescaled to fill the gap, and the score is marked at reduced confidence rather than padded with a guess.
Sales history
Prize competitions are entertainment, not an investment. Even a draw ranked highly on relative value will usually still have a low absolute probability of winning.
Standard budgets with precomputed scores: £5, £10, £20, £50. Other amounts are calculated live from the same figures.